Analysis of Elementary School Teachers Needs Based on Projection of Growth of School-Age Population in Sukabumi District in 2026

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the needs of teachers in Sukabumi Regency in 2026. The method used in this study is descriptive and projection methods. While the analysis of technical data carried out is by calculating the total population growth, projections of the school-age population, projections of study group needs, analysis of the condition of available teachers, and analysis of teacher needs. This study is an implementation of social demands on educational planning. Therefore, the results of this study will show the conditions and projections of residents in Sukabumi Regency as well as the condition of available teachers and projections of teacher needs in the future. Population growth in Sukabumi Regency is included in the slow category with a growth rate of 0.013%. Growth rates naturally affect educator projections. Based on the projection results, in 2026 the population in Sukabumi Regency will be 2,948,902 people, with a school-age population of 87,458 people. The number of school-age population will certainly affect the need for the number of study groups in Sukabumi Regency. In 2026, the total study group based on projected results is 10,727. This condition will certainly affect the number of teachers needed. At the end of 2026 the number of available teachers is 7,178 people. This condition indicates an increase in the need for teachers in Sukabumi Regency. Therefore, Sukabumi Regency requires the procurement of teachers who are in accordance with academic qualifications.